Select a company listed on an internationally recognized and well-established Stock Exchange:
Discuss how successful the company has been at delivering value to its shareholders over the past 5 years.
• Complete an EVA analysis of your company for the last 5 years. Clearly show your work rather than using final EVA numbers from another source.
• Analyse the Total Shareholder Return (TSR) of the company for the past 5 years, including any key events and compare with a similar company or appropriate benchmark.
Undertake a current valuation of the equity in this company, using the following methods:
• Net Asset Value.
• Comparable Ratios (e.g. P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA). You will need to look at both past results and comparable firms to analyse and justify an appropriate valuation. Note that simply multiplying the current ratio by the recent earnings (or book value or EBITDA) is not sufficient. An audio recording discussing comparable ratios are attached.
• Discounted Free Cash Flow. You will need to forecast each component of free cash flow (e.g. Sales, costs, capex, etc.) for at least 5 years of forecast cash flows and estimate a terminal value, and then discount them back at the appropriate cost of capital which you estimate yourself. Make sure to justify all of your assumptions. You can find information to support your forecasts from sources including the MD&A section of the company’s annual report (or its competitors), news stories, industry trade publications and government or think tank studies on the industry. Videos on how to estimate cost of capital and how to forecast free cash flow are attached.
Attempt to reconcile any differences in value that you obtain by using these different methods and state (with reasons) what value you think is correct for the company.
You must clearly explain all of your assumptions used in the valuations.